Experten-Irrtümer sind nicht die Ausnahme, sondern die Regel. Hintergründe zu einem System, das falsche Aussagen belohnt. „Wenn die Welt zugrunde geht, so wird dies nicht wegen ihrer Verrückten geschehen, sondern wegen der Vernunft ihrer Experten“, sagte John le Carré. Experten rieten Generationen von Müttern, ihre Kinder schreien zu lassen, bis diese heiser und verzweifelt aufgaben. Experten machten Firmenchefs weis, dass Outsourcing profitabel sei und trieben Tausende ins berufliche Abseits. Experten stellten „zweifelsfrei“ fest, dass Saddam Hussein über Massenvernichtungswaffen verfüge und leiteten so den Irakkrieg ein. „Irren ist menschlich“, werden manche beschwichtigend einwenden. Es sind aber gerade die Fachleute aller Couleur, die überproportional häufig Irrtümer verbreiten, weiß David H. Freedman. Die Selbstüberschätzung der Kompetenzträger sowie die Käuflichkeit und Manipulierbarkeit von „Wahrheit“ sind Systemfehler, die dafür sorgen, dass falsche Expertisen eher die Regel als die Ausnahme sind. Leichtgläubigkeit und Autoritätshörigkeit der Beratenen machen das Chaos perfekt. Die unumstößliche Wahrheit von gestern ist stets der offensichtliche Irrtum von morgen.
David H. Freedman Bücher






Die Autoren zeigen, dass übermäßige Ordnung in Alltag und Arbeit oft mehr kostet als sie nützt. Durch Beispiele aus verschiedenen Bereichen belegen sie, dass Mut zur Unordnung zu mehr Effizienz, Kreativität und Erfolg führen kann. Ordnung kann Zeit, Energie und Geld verschwenden.
The Intellectual Lover, and Other Stories
- 200 Seiten
- 7 Lesestunden
This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. To ensure a quality reading experience, this work has been proofread and republished using a format that seamlessly blends the original graphical elements with text in an easy-to-read typeface.We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Markov Chains
- 400 Seiten
- 14 Lesestunden
Focused on advanced mathematical concepts, this trilogy explores Markov chains, Brownian motion, and diffusion, catering to graduate students with a foundational knowledge of probability. The initial two books are designed to be independent, while the third serves as a monograph delving into chains with instantaneous states, presenting novel results. The author emphasizes clarity in the proofs, aiming to enhance understanding of the underlying principles, contrasting his explicit approach with traditional, more elegant methods.
Brownian Motion and Diffusion
- 244 Seiten
- 9 Lesestunden
This trilogy delves into Markov chains, Brownian motion, and diffusion, crafted for graduate students with a foundational understanding of probability. The first two volumes stand independently, while the third serves as a monograph focused on chains with instantaneous states, presenting new results and explicit proofs. The author emphasizes clarity and accessibility, aiming to demystify complex concepts often obscured in traditional treatments. The trilogy is designed to enhance comprehension and engagement with these fundamental topics in probability theory.
Approximating Countable Markov Chains
- 156 Seiten
- 6 Lesestunden
Focusing on the intricate concepts of Markov chains and their applications, this monograph presents a fresh perspective on chains with instantaneous states. Aimed at graduate students with a foundational understanding of probability, it builds on the author's previous works while offering new proofs and insights. The trilogy consists of three independent volumes, with this one emphasizing clarity and technical accessibility. The author strives to demystify complex ideas, making them more comprehensible and engaging for readers.
From the Preface: “The alphabetic acrostic is one of the most easily identifiable poetic forms in the Hebrew Bible. Examples can be found in prophetic discourse (Nahum), the lament over the destruction of Jerusalem (Lamentations), liturgical song (Psalms), and wisdom literature (Proverbs). Yet its very obviousness has tended to deflect deeper exploration of its structure and purpose. Since Mowinckel denigrated the acrostics in the Psalms as a “disintegration of style,’ too often scholars have simply noted and then ignored the form. “There is no a priori reason that alphabetic acrostics should be less creative, expressive, or complex than other psalms. Thus the essays collected here investigate the acrostic format as a legitimate option for Israelite poets rather than as the refuge of uninspired epigones....The fruit of over twenty years’ close reading of these psalms, the following essays reveal the poets’ consummate mastery of the demanding acrostic form and deserve incorporation in future discussions of biblical poetic art.
This book takes a new approach to tackling gender inequality in the home and at work, focusing on dads being entitled to a bigger role in parenting.
At Large
- 315 Seiten
- 12 Lesestunden
Describes how one computer hacker was able to access hundreds of business and government files and explains why the Internet is becoming less secure
Book by Frank M., Jr. Cross, David Noel Freeman