Helmut Lütkepohl Bücher

This book discusses the econometric foundations of structural vector autoregressive modeling, as used in empirical macroeconomics, finance, and related fields. Inhaltsverzeichnis 1. Introduction; 2. Vector autoregressive models; 3. Vector error correction models; 4. Structural VAR tools; 5. Bayesian VAR analysis; 6. The relationship between VAR models and other macroeconometric models; 7. A historical perspective on causal inference in macroeconometrics; 8. Identification by short-run restrictions; 9. Estimation subject to short-run restrictions; 10. Identification by long-run restrictions; 11. Estimation subject to long-run restrictions; 12. Inference in models identified by short-run or long-run restrictions; 13. Identification by sign restrictions; 14. Identification by heteroskedasticity or non-gaussianity; 15. Identification based on extraneous data; 16. Structural VAR analysis in a data-rich environment; 17. Nonfundamental shocks; 18. Nonlinear structural VAR models; 19. Practical issues related to trends, seasonality, and structural change; References; Index.

Time series econometrics is used for predicting future developments of variables of interest such as economic growth, stock market volatility or interest rates. A model has to be constructed, accordingly, to describe the data generation process and to estimate its parameters. Modern tools to accomplish these tasks are provided in this volume, which also demonstrates by example how the tools can be applied.

This Second Edition of the highly acclaimed introduction to econometrics retains its comprehensive nature and strong authorship, while incorporating much new material. New to this edition are a complete treatment of Bayesian inference, sampling theory, an appendix on linear algebra, and a computer handbook. Presentation covers modern statistical models and focuses on the sampling theory process by which the data were generated, and the statistical consequences of alternative decisions under uncertainty. Asymptotics are introduced early on, for use throughout. Includes at least one applied example to illustrate each model, and contains many analytical and numerical exercises.